Storm volunteers mingle with stars at Glamour fest
















NEW YORK (AP) — Sandra Kyong Bradbury was star struck. She had just spied Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg a few feet away.


“How can you top that?” asked Bradbury, a New York City neonatal nurse who had helped evacuate infants from a hospital that lost power during the height of Superstorm Sandy. She was amazed that she was being honored at the same event as a Supreme Court justice — the annual Glamour Women of the Year awards, where stars of film, TV, fashion and sports share the stage with lesser-known women who have equally impressive achievements to their name.













Few events bring together such an eclectic group of honorees, not to mention presenters. At the Carnegie Hall ceremony Monday night, HBO star Lena Dunham, creator of “Girls” and a heroine to a younger generation, was introduced by Chelsea Handler and paid tribute in her speech to Nora Ephron, who died earlier this year. Ethel Kennedy was praised by her daughter, Rory, who has made a film about her famous mother. Olympic gymnast Gabby Douglas, 17, was honored along with swimming phenom Missy Franklin, also 17, and other Olympic athletes, introduced by singer Mary J. Blige and serenaded by American Idol winner Phillip Phillips. Singer-actress Selena Gomez was lauded by her friend, the actor Ethan Hawke.


But the most moving moments of the Glamour awards, now in their 22nd year, are often those involving people of whom the audience hasn’t heard. This year, the most touching moment came when one honoree, Pakistani activist and filmmaker Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy, brought onstage a woman who’d been the victim of an acid attack in her native Pakistan. Obaid-Chinoy won this year’s documentary short Oscar for a film about disfiguring acid attacks on Pakistani women by the men in their lives.


The evening carried reminders of Superstorm Sandy, with Newark, N.J. Mayor Cory Booker introducing some 20 women who’d been heavily involved in storm relief work. “They held us together when Sandy tried to blow us apart,” Booker said. The women worked for organizations like the American Red Cross, but also smaller volunteer groups like Jersey City Sandy Recovery, an impromptu group formed by three women in Jersey City, N.J., who wanted a way to help storm-ravaged communities.


Singer-rapper Pharrell Williams introduced one of his favorite architects, the Iraqi-born Zaha Hadid, 62, who designed the aquatic center for the London Olympics and is now at work on 43 projects around the world.


Activist Erin Merryn was honored for her work increasing awareness of child sex abuse — a horror she had endured during her own childhood. A law urging schools to educate children about sex abuse prevention, Erin’s Law, has now passed in four states. “I won’t stop until I get it passed in all 50 states,” Merryn insisted in her speech.


Vogue editor Anna Wintour saluted a fellow fashion luminary, honoree Annie Leibovitz, the creator of so many iconic photographs over the years. Jenna Lyons, the president of J. Crew, got kind words from her presenter, former supermodel Lauren Hutton. Chelsea Clinton brought up a stageful of women from across the country who had been involved in politics this year, noting that, while there is still a long way to go, progress was made in 2012.


The lifetime achievement award went to Ginsburg, 79, who made a few quips about being honored by a fashion magazine. “The judiciary is not a profession that ranks very high among the glamorously attired,” the justice said. She also noted that although she was only the second female Supreme Court justice (Sandra Day O’Connor came first), she was the first justice to be honored by Glamour.


An affectionate tribute to the late Ephron followed, with three actresses — Cynthia Nixon, and two Meryl Steep daughters, Mamie and Grace Gummer, reading from a graduation speech she had given at Wellesley College.


Actress Dunham, in her speech, touched on politics and expressed her own relief that President Barack Obama had won re-election, saying she felt it was crucial for reproductive freedom and other issues of women’s rights. “I wanted control of my womb before I really knew what my womb was,” she quipped.


After the ceremony, which was presided over by Glamour editor in chief Cindi Leive, honorees and presenters headed to a private dinner. There, Sandy volunteers mingled with the stars. One woman, Lynier Harper, had spent six nights during Sandy at the Brooklyn YMCA where she works, taking care of other people. “When I finally went back home, my house was totally destroyed,” she said. She has moved in with her sister while she seeks a new home.


A group of seven nurses came from New York University’s Langone Medical Center, which lost power during the storm. The neonatal intensive care nurses had to carry the babies down nine flights of stairs, in the dark, squeezing oxygen into their lungs, to get them to safety.


And there were the three women from Jersey City Sandy Recovery, sinking in the proximity to the so many impressive people.


“I just shook Ruth Bader Ginsburg‘s hand,” exulted one of them, Candice Osborne. “How awesome!”


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To Forgive Is Divine (Then Comes the Tax Bill)
















The people who brought you Occupy Wall Street have come up with an extremely clever idea: raising money to buy random citizens’ overdue debt, and then—poof!—forgive it. One day a debtor is fielding calls from a collection agency; the next day, she’s not.


If this vanishing act sounds too good to be true—and it might be, but we’ll get to that—it helps to start at the beginning. Debt is easiest to think about as a negative thing: It’s money you owe somebody. From that somebody’s perspective, though, debt is money coming due. That makes it an asset that can be bought and sold—at a discount based on the likelihood it will be repaid.













When debt becomes overdue, it gets cheaper, and when it becomes really overdue, it sells for pennies on the dollar. Whoever buys debt can do whatever they like with it—including forgive it. That’s the idea that Strike Debt, a group that grew out of the Occupy Wall Street movement, says it will put into practice with a project it calls the Rolling Jubilee. For every dollar contributed, the group expects to be able to buy and forgive $ 20 of distressed debt.


David Rees, a humorist best known for his Get Your War On comic and How to Sharpen Pencils book, wrote on his blog that Strike Debt has successfully tested the idea with a $ 500 purchase of $ 14,000 in debt, a ratio of 1 to 28. “Now, after many consultations with attorneys, the IRS, and our moles in the debt-brokerage world, we are ready to take the Rolling Jubilee program LIVE and NATIONWIDE,” Rees wrote, “buying debt in communities that have been struggling during the recession.” Strike Debt is advertising the effort as “a buyout of the people, by the people.”


It’s a laudable idea—although the $ 1 million target Strike Debt has floated amounts to a drop in the bucket of American consumers’ overall indebtedness, which stood at $ 11.38 trillion as of June 30, according (PDF) to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. (That’s actually a generous comparison, given standard measurements of drops and buckets.) So if this is a people’s bailout, it’s a symbolic one, dwarfed by the lifelines that major financial institutions got during the crisis.


Slate’s Matthew Yglesias quibbles that the Rolling Jubilee benefits people who have racked up debt while it ignores those who are simply poor. “Given two struggling families, one of which is indebted and one of which isn’t, it’s not clear why you’d think that the family that’s borrowed heavily in the past is more worthy of assistance,” he writes. “And similarly, for any particular indebted family it’s not obvious that on a dollar-per-dollar basis debt forgiveness is more helpful than just handing over some cash.”


This is all nitpicking, though, compared with the big, inevitable catch: taxes. A person’s debt can’t truly disappear with no consequences. The amount forgiven is technically income—“cancellation of debt income,” in Internal Revenue Service terms. It’s a dollar-for-dollar conversion, says Robert Willens, a tax expert based in New York. For example, a person with regular income of $ 50,000 who has $ 25,000 in credit-card debt discharged will be taxed on April 15 as if she earns $ 75,000.


“There’s not any doubt about the tax outcome at all,” says Willens. “That’s almost always the case with debt discharges—you wind up with this tax problem that almost always mitigates the benefit of the discharge.”


There are exceptions—such as when the taxpayer is insolvent, in which case taxes are only due on the amount of the forgiveness that exceeds her insolvency, says David Miller, a tax attorney at Cadwalader, Wickersham & Taft. Bankruptcy is another exception.


Strike Debt didn’t make a representative available for an interview despite several requests, so I wasn’t able to ask about the particulars of who the group plans to buy debt from, or about its legal structure. Miller suggests that the group form a 501(c)3 organization that negotiates directly with credit-card companies on behalf of individual debtors and structures its payments as grants. Solvent people would still owe tax, but donors to the cause would be able to get a tax deduction. (Strike Debt, if you’re reading, Miller says he is happy to help you set up this structure pro bono.)


Credit scores also go down when debt is written off, as opposed to repaid.


David Graeber, whom Bloomberg Businessweek profiled as “the anti-leader of Occupy Wall Street” in an October 2011 cover story, wrote about the concept of jubilees in his book Debt: The First 5,000 Years. They’re rare today, but in ancient Babylon, Assyria, and Egypt, rulers regularly forgave their subjects’ debt during lean years as a means of staving off revolt.


A fundraiser to kick off the Rolling Jubilee is scheduled for Nov. 15 in New York, featuring Janeane Garofalo, Max Silvestri, Jeff Mangum, Tunde Adebimpe, and other artists. The cheapest ticket goes for $ 25 (enough to erase $ 500 in debt).


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Syrian Red Crescent estimates 2.5 million uprooted in Syria
















GENEVA (Reuters) – The Syrian Arab Red Crescent estimates that 2.5 million people are internally displaced within Syria by civil war, doubling the previous figure of 1.2 million used by aid agencies, the United Nations refugee agency said on Tuesday.


“The figure they are using is 2.5 million. If anything, they believe it could be more, this is a very conservative estimate,” Melissa Fleming, chief spokeswoman of the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), told a news briefing in Geneva.













“So people are moving, really on the run, hiding. They are difficult to count and access,” she said.


The United Nations said on Friday that up to 4 million people inside Syria will need humanitarian aid by early next year when the country is in the grip of winter, up from 2.5 million now whose needs are not fully met.


The UNHCR has temporarily withdrawn about half of its 12 staff from north-eastern Hassaka province due to fierce fighting and insecurity that has resulted in the loss of some aid supplies and driven more Syrian Kurds into Iraq, Fleming said.


More than 407,000 Syrian refugees have registered or await registration in the surrounding region – Lebanon, Turkey, Jordan and Iraq – and more are fleeing every day, she said.


(Reporting by Stephanie Nebehay; Editing by Janet Lawrence)


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Belize wants to quiz anti-computer virus guru McAfee in murder probe
















BELIZE CITY (Reuters) – Police in Belize want to question U.S. anti-computer virus software pioneer John McAfee in connection with the murder of a neighbor he had been quarrelling with, but they say he remains a person of interest at this time and is not a suspect.


McAfee, who invented the anti-virus software that bears his name, has homes and businesses in Belize, and is believed to have settled in the country sometime around 2010.













“He is a person of interest at this time,” said Marco Vidal, head of Belize’s police Gang Suppression Unit. “It goes a bit beyond that, not just being a neighbor.”


Police officers were looking for the software engineer, said Miguel Segura, the assistant commissioner of police.


Asked if McAfee was a suspect, he said: “At this point, no. Our job … is to get all the evidence beyond reasonable doubt that Mr A is the one that killed Mr B.”


“He (McAfee) … can assist the investigation, so there is no arrest warrant for the fellow,” added Segura, who heads the Criminal Investigation Branch.


McAfee’s neighbor, Gregory Viant Faull, a 52-year-old American, was found on Sunday lying dead in a pool of blood after apparently being shot in the head.


McAfee has been embroiled in controversy in Belize before.


His premises were raided in May after he was accused of holding firearms, though most were found to be licensed. The final outcome of the case is pending.


McAfee also owns a security company in Belize as well as several properties and an ecological enterprise.


Reuters was unable to contact McAfee on Monday.


Segura said McAfee had been at odds with Faull for some time. He accused his neighbor of poisoning his dogs earlier this year and filed an official complaint.


“There was some conflict there between (them) … prior to the death of the gentleman,” Segura said. “But those dogs didn’t have a post mortem to see if the toxicology would confirm what type of poison, if any.”


McAfee previously accused the police Gang Suppression Unit of killing his dogs during the May raid.


McAfee was one of Silicon Valley’s first entrepreneurs to amass a fortune by building a business off the Internet.


The former Lockheed systems consultant started McAfee Associates in 1989, initially distributing its anti-virus software as “shareware” on Internet bulletin boards.


He took the company public in 1992 and left two years later following accusations that he had hyped the arrival of a virus known as Michelango, which turned out to be a dud, to scare computer users into buying his company’s products.


(Reporting by Simon Gardner and Gabriel Stargardter in Mexico City and Jim Finkle; Editing by Kieran Murray and Todd Eastham)


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General investigated for emails to Petraeus friend
















PERTH, Australia (AP) — In a new twist to the Gen. David Petraeus sex scandal, the Pentagon said Tuesday that the top American commander in Afghanistan, Gen. John Allen, is under investigation for alleged “inappropriate communications” with a woman who is said to have received threatening emails from Paula Broadwell, the woman with whom Petraeus had an extramarital affair.


Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said in a written statement issued to reporters aboard his aircraft, en route from Honolulu to Perth, Australia, that the FBI referred the matter to the Pentagon on Sunday.













Panetta said that he ordered a Pentagon investigation of Allen on Monday.


A senior defense official traveling with Panetta said Allen’s communications were with Jill Kelley, who has been described as an unpaid social liaison at MacDill Air Force Base, Fla., which is headquarters to the U.S. Central Command. She is not a U.S. government employee.


Kelley is said to have received threatening emails from Broadwell, who is Petraeus’ biographer and who had an extramarital affair with Petraeus that reportedly began after he became CIA director in September 2011.


Petraeus resigned as CIA director on Friday.


Allen, a four-star Marine general, succeeded Petraeus as the top American commander in Afghanistan in July 2011.


The senior official, who discussed the matter only on condition of anonymity because it is under investigation, said Panetta believed it was prudent to launch a Pentagon investigation, although the official would not explain the nature of Allen’s problematic communications.


The official said 20,000 to 30,000 pages of emails and other documents from Allen’s communications with Kelley between 2010 and 2012 are under review. He would not say whether they involved sexual matters or whether they are thought to include unauthorized disclosures of classified information. He said he did not know whether Petraeus is mentioned in the emails.


“Gen. Allen disputes that he has engaged in any wrongdoing in this matter,” the official said. He said Allen currently is in Washington.


Panetta said that while the matter is being investigated by the Defense Department Inspector General, Allen will remain in his post as commander of the International Security Assistance Force, based in Kabul. He praised Allen as having been instrumental in making progress in the war.


The FBI’s decision to refer the Allen matter to the Pentagon rather than keep it itself, combined with Panetta’s decision to allow Allen to continue as Afghanistan commander without a suspension, suggested strongly that officials viewed whatever happened as a possible infraction of military rules rather than a violation of federal criminal law.


Allen was Deputy Commander of Central Command, based in Tampa, prior to taking over in Afghanistan. He also is a veteran of the Iraq war.


In the meantime, Panetta said, Allen’s nomination to be the next commander of U.S. European Command and the commander of NATO forces in Europe has been put on hold “until the relevant facts are determined.” He had been expected to take that new post in early 2013, if confirmed by the Senate, as had been widely expected.


Panetta said President Barack Obama was consulted and agreed that Allen’s nomination should be put on hold. Allen was to testify at his confirmation hearing before the Senate Armed Services Committee on Thursday. Panetta said he asked committee leaders to delay that hearing.


NATO officials had no comment about the delay in Allen’s appointment.


“We have seen Secretary Panetta‘s statement,” NATO spokeswoman Carmen Romero said in Brussels. “It is a U.S. investigation.”


Panetta also said he wants the Senate Armed Services Committee to act promptly on Obama’s nomination of Gen. Joseph Dunford to succeed Allen as commander in Afghanistan. That nomination was made several weeks ago. Dunford’s hearing is also scheduled for Thursday.


___


Associated Press writer Slobodan Lekic in Kabul, Afghanistan, contributed to this report.


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Lockheed says cyber attacks up sharply, suppliers targeted
















WASHINGTON (Reuters) – The Pentagon‘s No. 1 supplier, Lockheed Martin Corp, on Monday cited dramatic growth in the number and sophistication of international cyber attacks on its networks and said it was contacting suppliers to help them shore up their security.


Chandra McMahon, Lockheed vice president and chief information security officer, said about 20 percent of the threats directed at Lockheed networks were considered “advanced persistent threats,” prolonged and targeted attacks by a nation state or other group trying to steal data or harm operations.













“The number of campaigns has increased dramatically over the last several years,” McMahon told a news conference. “The pace has picked up.”


She said the tactics and techniques were becoming increasingly sophisticated, and attackers were clearly targeting Lockheed suppliers to gain access to information since the company had fortified its own networks.


U.S. officials have stepped up their warnings about cyber attacks on U.S. banks and other institutions in recent months, warning that attackers are developing the ability to strike U.S. power grids and government systems.


Lockheed officials declined to say if any of the attacks they had seen originated in Iran, which has been linked to recent denial-of-service attacks against U.S. financial institutions.


Rohan Amin, Lockheed program director for the Pentagon’s Cyber Crime Center (DC3), said internal analysis showed that the number of campaigns had clearly grown, and multiple campaigns were often linked.


Lockheed recently wrested a $ 450 million contract to run the military cyber center away from long-time holder General Dynamics Corp.


“HUGE PROBLEM”


As the top information technology provider to the U.S. government, Lockheed has long worked to secure data on computer networks run by a range of civilian and military agencies. The company is also trying to expand sales of cybersecurity technology and services to commercial firms, including its suppliers, and foreign governments, Lockheed executives said.


“Suppliers are still a huge problem,” said Charlie Croom, Lockheed’s vice president of cybersecurity solutions, noting the large number of companies that provide products and components for Lockheed, which has annual sales of just under $ 47 billion.


Croom, the former head of the Pentagon’s Defense Information Systems Agency, said cybersecurity was a crucial area for Lockheed, but said it was difficult to pinpoint exactly how much business it generates because network security is part of nearly everything the company sells and does for the government.


He estimated that 5 to 8 percent of Lockheed’s revenues in the information systems sector were related to cybersecurity. Lockheed generated $ 9.4 billion sales in that division in 2011.


McMahon said Lockheed had seen “very successful” attacks against a number of the company’s suppliers, and was focusing heavily on helping those companies improve their security.


She said a well-publicized cyber attack on Lockheed’s networks in May 2011 came after the computer systems of two of its suppliers — RSA, the security division of EMC Corp and another unidentified company — were compromised.


“The adversary was able to get information from RSA and then they were also able to steal information from another supplier of ours, and they were able to put those two pieces of information together and launch an attack on us,” McMahon said.


She said Lockheed had been tracking the adversary for years before that attack, and was able to prevent any loss of data by using its in-house detection and monitoring capabilities.


One of the lessons the company learned was the importance of sharing data with other companies in the defense sector, and suppliers, to avert similar attacks, McMahon said.


“It’s just one example of how the adversary has been very significant and tenacious and has really been targeting the defense industrial base,” she said.


Social media, websites and malware introduced by emails remain major areas of concern, Lockheed executives said.


(Reporting By Andrea Shalal-Esa; Editing by Paul Tait)


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U2′s Bono to urge U.S. politicians not to cut aid programs
















WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Irish rocker and anti-poverty campaigner Bono will appeal to Democrats and Republicans during a visit to Washington this week to spare U.S. development assistance programs from cuts as Congress tries to avert the looming “fiscal cliff” of tax hikes and spending reductions early next year.


The U2 lead singer’s visit comes as the Obama administration and congressional leaders try to forge a deal in coming weeks to avoid the economy hitting the “fiscal cliff” – tax increases and spending cuts worth $ 600 billion starting in January if Congress does not act.













Analysts say the absence of a deal could shock the United States, the world’s biggest economy, back into recession.


Kathy McKiernan, spokeswoman for the ONE Campaign, said Bono will hold talks with congressional lawmakers and senior Obama administration officials during the November 12-14 visit.


During meetings he will stress the effectiveness of U.S. foreign assistance programs and the need to preserve them to avoid putting at risk progress made in fighting HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis and malaria, she said.


Bono, a long-time advocate for the poor, will argue that U.S. government-funded schemes that support life-saving treatments for HIV/AIDS sufferers, nutrition programs for malnourished children, and emergency food aid make up just 1 percent of the U.S. government budget but are helping to save tens of millions of lives in impoverished nations.


The One Campaign would not elaborate which lawmakers and senior Obama administration officials Bono will meet.


On Monday, Bono will discuss the power of social movements with students at Georgetown University. He will also meet new World Bank President Jim Yong Kim for a web cast discussion on Wednesday on the challenges of eradicating poverty.


(Editing by W Simon)


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In This Junkyard, It Seems, There Are No Dogs

















It’s kind of Orwellian that anyone would rapaciously buy an ETF with the ticker JNK—branding shorthand for “junk,” Wall Street’s sobriquet for high-yield, the riskiest layer of corporate bonds.


Nevertheless, JNK, the SPDR Barclays Capital High Yield Bond ETF, and competitor offerings are a hot destination in these yield-famished days. The appeal is irrefutable: You’ll get precious little income from Treasuries and muni bonds. Creditworthy corporations are borrowing at record lows. Why not then pile into riskier, higher-yielding debt, especially if you can do so via one tidy, exchange-traded ticker? (No need to ring Michael Milken.) What’s more, Moody’s sees the global default rate for “speculative-grade” debt ending the year at 2.8 percent, compared with an average of 4.8 percent since 1983. Yields have fallen 1.65 percentage points this year, to 7.05 percent on Nov. 1, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch data.













What’s not to love?


An overcrowded trade marked by 2007-like issuer complacency—that’s what. More companies are demanding and getting easy terms on their junk issues. The most popular junk ETFs are going deeper into credit risk to scrape for yield. The sluicing of retail money into these ETFs is perpetuating what has historically proved to be a vicious trend. “Signs of over-exuberance are creeping into the corporate credit market,” wrote Michael Lewitt, a hedge fund manager who publishes the Credit Strategist. “In the past, rising issuance of these types of low-quality bonds has been a warning that a market rally is coming to an end … Today’s new issues will be the troubled credits of tomorrow.”


On Nov. 7, Standard & Poor’s warned of the unprecedented dangers of a brave, new junk bond world. Wrote credit analysts Diane Vazza and Evan Gunter:


“The ease with which investors can enter and exit ETF investments creates new and risky dynamics in the speculative-grade market with the potential flow of ‘hot money.’ Speculative-grade companies have a higher default risk than investment-grade companies. Therefore, when the credit cycle turns against investors, losses from defaults can quickly outstrip the additional interest payments that high-yield investors receive. Since we are entering the stage of declining credit quality in the current credit cycle, the credit quality of an issuer or a portfolio has become paramount.”


Vazza and Gunter looked under the hoods of JNK and its rival, HYG, the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond Fund. They found that both ETFs owned a higher proportion of the riskiest junk debt versus the overall high-yield market. While they estimated that the broad universe of high yield includes 7.9 percent of bonds rated CCC+ and lower, their share in HYG’s portfolio is at 11.0 percent and in JNK just under 10 percent. While higher risk juices returns in a favorable environment like the present one, the analysts explained, they take outsized losses once the credit cycle turns.


Sales of junk debt in the U.S. have come in at $ 294 billion so far this year, the fastest pace on record. It’s in that booming backdrop that private equity-owned companies have paid out $ 34.1 billion in dividends this year, according to Standard & Poor’s Capital IQ Leveraged Commentary & Data. That’s north of 2010’s total of $ 31.5 billion and the $ 23.8 billion paid out in 2007, when the leveraged buyout market peaked. By comparison: Some $ 1.2 billion in dividends were issued in 2008 and $ 440 million in 2009.


This boom has prompted an echo-boom in payment-in-kind transactions, or PIK toggles, which let companies pay interest in debt rather than cash, essentially deferring payments to their investors. That tactic was a hallmark of the private equity bubble of five years ago. According to Moody’s, as of mid-October two of the third quarter’s 14 dividend financings enjoyed PIK toggle structures, including Emergency Medical Services’ $ 450 million of notes to pay a dividend to Clayton, Dubilier & Rice and IDQ Holdings’ $ 45 million deal supporting a payout to Castle Harlan. Last month, Petco also got in on the PIK toggle boom.


Caveat junktor. Moody’s calculates that the default rate for companies that sold PIK-toggle bonds was 13 percent from 2006 to 2010, twice the rate for similarly rated issuers that didn’t use the tactic.


“Low yields are driving more and more investors into really strange territory,” says Lee Pacchia, a Bloomberg Law analyst who follows corporate bankruptcies. “They need to take on risk. While the market forces driving this trend could go on for a while, lowering standards could end badly. It’s called ‘junk’ for a reason.”


The institutional smart money is increasingly taking the other side of that trade. According to Bloomberg data, the number of bearish options on HYG are at an all-time high: The number of outstanding puts on HYG has almost doubled since Oct. 19, to a record of 118,444 at the end of last month. Hedge funds seeking that bet on both gains and losses in credit attracted $ 12.6 billion of deposits in the three months ended Sept. 30, the most since the last quarter of 2007, according to HFR.


It all makes you wonder how quickly people may have forgotten the lessons of the credit bubble, or what one hedgie has called the era of promiscuous lending. Will today’s junk boom end so differently?


“The history of money is a sad state of affairs,” wrote Prudent Bear’s Doug Noland in his recent post, titled “The Myth of Deleveraging.” “Failing to learn from a litany of previous monetary fiascoes, ‘money’ is these days being abusively over-issued.”



Farzad is a Bloomberg Businessweek contributor.


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Condom conundrum: Porn industry ponders latex law
















LOS ANGELES (AP) — The show must go on, is the entertainer’s credo, and it did just that in the nation’s Porn Capital even after Los Angeles County voted to require performers to use condoms when filming sex scenes.


One of the industry’s biggest stars, James Deen, reported for work, condom-free as usual, just hours after voters adopted the new law.













During a break in the action Thursday, however, Deen raised the same questions on the mind of everyone in LA’s billion-dollar-plus porn industry: Can a planned court challenge get the new law tossed out before it is even implemented? Or, perhaps this time next year, will he be making films like “Atomic Vixens” and “Asian Fever Sex Objects” in some place like Las Vegas or Florida?


The law, listed on the ballot as Measure B, was passed by 56 percent of voters Tuesday. It won’t take effect until election results are certified, which likely will be several more days. It could take months longer before county health officials decide how to enforce it and whether they must begin dispatching prophylactic police officers to keep a close eye on actors.


The Department of Public Health issued a terse statement with no timetable for developing an enforcement plan. There was no hint of whether there would be surprise inspections or if public employees would be paid to watch porn flicks to see if actors were complying.


The nation’s adult entertainment industry, which is believed to generate as much as $ 7 billion a year in revenue, according to the trade publication Adult Video News, vigorously opposed the new law. It argued it is unneeded because of safeguards that include monthly venereal disease checks for all working actors.


They also maintained it would be costly and difficult to enforce and could drive the business out of Los Angeles‘ sprawling San Fernando Valley, taking with it as many as 10,000 jobs, including actors, directors, film editors and crafts and makeup people.


The main problem, they say, is that fans don’t want to see actors using condoms.


“The last time we attempted to go all condom, our industry lost sales by over 30 percent,” said Deen. “That’s a huge hit to our economy.”


Deen, who has appeared in more than 1,000 hardcore films over the past nine years and estimates he’s been in about 4,000 sex scenes, said he’s never been infected with any disease and he gets tested every two weeks.


“I love condoms, I think they’re great and the safest thing you can do in engaging in sexual intercourse with a stranger,” he said, adding he uses them in his personal life but not onscreen.


Industry officials, meanwhile, say the last reported case of HIV linked directly to work was in 2004. Since then, they add, about 300,000 films have been made.


Michael Weinstein, the nonprofit AIDS Healthcare Foundation’s founder and president, disputes those figures, saying there have been other, more recent HIV infections, not to mention numerous cases of gonorrhea, chlamydia and other sexually transmitted diseases.


Weinstein, whose group led a petition campaign to place the measure on the ballot, says he plans to take his campaign statewide.


In the meantime, he says implementing and enforcing the new law should be easy.


“This is no different than supervising restaurants or nail salons or barbershops,” Weinstein said. “You fill out forms, you are granted a permit and, periodically, somebody goes out and does spot inspections.”


Easy to implement or not, porn producers say the cost of paying for permits will likely be steep and the drop-off in sales could bankrupt them.


“Certainly this is the biggest threat that I’ve seen to the industry in a very, very long time,” said Steven Hirsch, chief executive of Vivid Entertainment Group, one of the largest purveyors of porn films, including celebrity sex tapes and popular X-rated parodies of “Batman” and “Superman” films. “There have been obscenity prosecutions, but this is something on a whole different level.”


Hirsch, who co-founded Vivid 28 years ago, said he is confident the industry will get the law overturned on the grounds it violates filmmakers’ First Amendment rights of free expression.


If it isn’t overturned, he said his company will simply move production out of Los Angeles County to survive.


Several people who attended an emergency meeting of the industry’s advocacy group, the Free Speech Coalition, last week, said porn producers have already been in touch with officials in Las Vegas and parts of Florida. In some instances, they said, tax incentives have been offered to lure them.


Through a quirk in county law, the industry might even be able to pack up and move just a few miles down the freeway to Pasadena or Long Beach.


Those municipalities, although located in Los Angeles County, have their own health departments, and Pasadena said earlier this week it won’t enforce the new law.


That would be just fine for many actors and directors, who say they don’t really want to leave their home base.


“People forget that porn people are people too,” said Kylie Ireland, a veteran actress and director who has appeared in such films as “Being Porn Again” and “Calipornication.”


“They forget that we have families and we are married and we have kids and we have lives and jobs and hobbies just like everybody else.”


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2f921  feature reservation46  01  inline202 Badlands CrudePhotograph by Ben GriemeTex Hall, head of three affiliated tribes, runs an oil empire in the Dakotas


Tex Hall strolls across a parking lot at the Fort Berthold Indian Reservation in North Dakota and enters the tribe’s administrative headquarters. Hall, 56, is wearing jeans, cowboy boots, and an ornate silver belt buckle the size of a tortoise shell. He removes his sunglasses. Inside, the tribal business chamber has the air of a bustling county courthouse. Hall is the reservation’s top elected leader, chairman of the 12,000 members of the Mandan, Hidatsa, and Arikara Nation (also known as the Three Affiliated Tribes). Over the past century, Fort Berthold has struggled with poverty and high unemployment, but recently its fortunes have been on the upswing. The reservation has struck oil.













Fort Berthold, which covers an area slightly larger than Rhode Island, sits above the Williston Basin, a geologic formation rich in shale oil. About five years ago, engineers figured out how to extract the oil using hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, techniques. Since 2008, according to tribal records, more than $ 500 million in oil revenue from fracking leasing rights and royalties has flowed into Fort Berthold.


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North Dakota’s economy has erupted. Unemployment hovers around 3 percent. There are overrun trailer parks, six-figure trucking jobs, rollicking strip clubs, and scores of real estate operatives furtively scouring land records in search of untapped treasures. Four years ago there were no producing oil wells on Fort Berthold. Now there are 297, with hundreds more expected in the coming years. Entrepreneurs are clamoring to conduct business with the tribe. To operate on the reservation, however, they are supposed to get the approval of the Tribal Business Council—MHA Nation’s top governing body—which consists of Chairman Hall and six other elected officials.


The council convenes just one day a month. Not long ago, the infrequent meetings were well suited to the sleepy economy. But in the current fevered atmosphere, the council’s scarcity of face time has transformed the gatherings into a kind of high-anxiety endurance challenge, testing how badly outsiders want to win access to the reservation and to what extent tribe members can influence the oil boom. Whatever the future of the reservation looks like, it will be won or lost here.


On the morning of the council’s meeting in July, some of the several dozen visitors who had arrived from around the country had shown up an hour prior to the 10 a.m. start.


An hour passed. Then two. Finally, at 12:20, Hall strolls into the chamber, passing a poster at the front of the room advertising the tribe’s annual oil and gas expo. “Today’s Modern Day Gold Rush,” it reads. “The Dream Starts Here.” The sometimes messy reality of oil exploration starts here, too. Hall settles into his seat, front and center, and calls the meeting to order.


In recent years, as the revenue from Native American casinos has flatlined in the face of competition from other forms of legalized gambling, tribes around the country have grappled with a difficult question: to drill or not to drill? Hall is one of the country’s leading advocates for native oil exploration. “The economic benefits of this oil and gas development are far-reaching,” he testified before the U.S. Congress in July.


Through Glenda Embry, the tribe’s public information officer, Hall agreed to an interview, which he later postponed. Several subsequent attempts made through Embry to reschedule the interview were unsuccessful.


With the influx of money, scores of problems have bubbled up with the crude, including lawsuits, environmental scares, and questions about where the money is going. Tribe members say their local government is rife with conflicts of interest, and across the reservation feelings of injustice run high. “This case focuses on a new version of a very old story: the misappropriation of land resources belonging to Native Americans,” alleges one lawsuit pitting tribe members against the federal government. “Present circumstances confirm what history has repeatedly shown: the bigger the prize, the more egregious the land grab.”
 
 
Inside the tribal business chamber, Ramona Two Shields addresses the tribe members. Before retiring, Two Shields spent several decades working for the U.S. Navy. These days she leads a group of elders preaching fiscal discipline to the council and suing the U.S. Department of the Interior, which oversees reservations. “If you sit back and say nothing,” says Two Shields, “they are going to use all of this money.”


In the late 19th and early 20th centuries, the federal government divvied up the reservation into a patchwork of 160- and 320-acre allotments that were given to individual members of the tribe. At first, the tribe itself owned little land. But over the years, as families looked to sell their homes and move off the reservation, the tribal government stepped in as a buyer, gradually accumulating more property.


The oil boom has divided Fort Berthold, culturally and economically, into those who own land (typically older tribe members who inherited property from their parents) and those who don’t. “That’s a new phenomenon for us,” says Marilyn Hudson, a landowner who serves as administrator at the tribe’s history museum. “Previously we were a homogeneous society.” Those who don’t own land now increasingly look to the Tribal Business Council for support. At the moment, the tribe owns the mineral rights on 108,775 of the 552,812 acres within the producing regions of the reservation. Many of the parcels are gushing oil. From January 2008 to July 2012, the tribal government accumulated $ 53 million in bonus payments and an additional $ 64 million in royalties. Each month millions more roll in.


Hall championed the creation of the People’s Fund, a pool of money designed to periodically distribute cash back to the tribe’s members. He says it has $ 30 million. Four years into the oil boom, the People’s Fund has yet to make any disbursements. Many residents see the oil boom as the tribe’s last great hope for economic salvation. “We really need to develop a long-term vision for a generation beyond us,” says Hudson. “Because we all know once the oil is gone, it’s gone.”2f921  feature reservation46  02  inline405 Badlands CrudePhotograph by Ben GriemeDrilling at the reservation has brought more than $ 500 million in revenue since 2008
 
 
Those who do own land have profited from the boom, though even many of them feel they’ve been cheated. In the fall of 2007, the Bureau of Indian Affairs (BIA), acting in an oversight role as a trustee of the reservation, began auctioning off Fort Berthold’s mineral rights. Individual landowners could accept or reject the oil companies’ offers. Many happily took the money.


Years later some landowners have soured on the deals. “We pleaded with [the BIA] to hold the mineral lease auctions down in Houston, Texas, or Denver, Colorado, or Billings, Montana, so the big oil companies could bid. Instead they held them in New Town, N.D., with very little advertisement, and only the small speculators came to bid,” writes landowner Nelson Birdbear. “My minerals were leased. But it could have been a lot better.”


In the summer of 2011, Two Shields became the lead plaintiff in a class action in the U.S. Court of Federal Claims alleging that the Department of the Interior had failed in its fiduciary duty to properly manage the reservation’s mineral rights. The suit alleges that the BIA auctioned off mineral leases at submarket rates. “The BIA merely rubber-stamped the bids from the oil companies that obtained these supercheap leases,” reads the complaint. “The BIA did so knowing that many (if not most) allottees are poor, had no experience with leasing, and were glad to get a little money.”


Lawyers for the defense have moved to dismiss the suit, arguing that it amounts to redundant litigation because the plaintiffs are already participants in a similar class action against the federal government. The lawsuit is ongoing.


Two Shields warns that the payments from the People’s Fund might never materialize unless the tribe comes up with a fiscal plan. But in recent years the state of the tribe’s finances has remained a mystery to most members. Hudson says that while Hall’s administration regularly shares data on incoming oil revenue down to the penny, they offer no detailed information about how the money is being spent. “We are an Indian chartered corporation, and we are corporate stockholders,” she says. “We should be getting statements and annual reports.” Neither Hall nor Embry would respond to questions about fiscal transparency. In the absence of financial reports, misgivings have flourished—particularly about the chairman’s privately held oil company.
 
 
Growing up on Fort Berthold, Hall dreamed of playing professional basketball. When that didn’t pan out, he earned a master’s degree in education administration and worked in the reservation’s school system, according to the tribe’s website.


Along the way, Hall discovered a gift for politics. In 1998 and 2002 he won back-to-back elections for tribal chairman. Under his administration, the tribe invested in economic development projects, including a buffalo ranch. In 2004 state authorities swooped in to investigate reports that the tribe’s bison were dying of malnutrition. One local resident told the Associated Press that the conditions were “worse than a concentration camp.” At the time, a spokesperson for Hall denied any mismanagement. In 2006, amid allegations of fiscal irresponsibility from his challenger, Marcus Wells, he was voted out of office.


In the fall of 2007, according to state records, Hall formed an oilfield subcontractor company, Maheshu Energy, designed to sell supplies such as casing pipes to energy companies drilling on the reservation. He didn’t stay away from politics for long. In 2010 he again ran for chairman. He was reelected.


For the past two years, while managing the tribe’s collective oil interests, hosting commercial oil and gas expos, and testifying in Washington about the benefits of native oil exploration, Hall has continued to run Maheshu Energy. The dual role has drawn criticism. In May 2011, Steve Kelly, a tribe member who operates a handful of oil-related businesses, appeared at a council meeting and argued that tribal law required the chairman to either eliminate his economic stake in the oil field or abstain from voting on oil-related matters. “I don’t mind competition,” said Kelly. “But I can’t compete with the chairman.”


Hank Bolman, the owner of a roustabout business, which provides oil companies with myriad maintenance services in the field, then accused the chairman of “writing letters out to different companies, threatening them—‘you have to use my pipe or you don’t come on the reservation land.’ ” The chairman denied writing any such letters. He recommended the business owners take their complaints to the tribal ethics committee. Kelly pointed out that in practice the committee didn’t really exist; the council had never appointed anyone to sit on it. Reached by phone in July, Kelly says the conflict was never settled. According to Kelly, Maheshu Energy, which started in oil pipes, has since expanded into a diverse range of oilfield services. “He has his fingers in everything,” says Kelly. Neither Hall nor Embry responded to questions about Maheshu Energy and concerns over the chairman’s potential conflict of interest. At the May 2011 meeting, Hall said: “It’s about being able to do the work, keep a contract.”
 
 
Richard Mayer runs Thunder Butte Petroleum Services, a company owned by the tribe that intends to build a refinery on the reservation. Mayer calls it part of a plan to create jobs, turn a profit, and free the tribe from federal handouts. He says the construction of the refinery will cost roughly $ 300 million to $ 320 million and take 18 to 24 months. (It’s not clear what Maheshu Energy’s role in the refinery is because Hall didn’t respond to questions.) The current plan, says Mayer, is to build a refinery that will take 15,000 barrels per day of local crude and turn it into diesel fuel and naphtha, an oil product often used as a gasoline additive.


Last year major energy companies were racing to exit the refinery business. Recently, however, the prospects for fuel makers have improved, thanks to lower oil prices. Mayer says he expects the refinery to be immediately profitable. “The very first year in operation, we will be contributing to the tribe,” he says.


Critics say that if things could go so wrong at a buffalo ranch, they wonder what might happen at a complex refinery. Mayer downplays the concerns. “I’ve lived here my whole life,” he says. “I have children that live here. My No. 1 concern is safety.”


Four years into the boom, some residents say they have yet to see much upside. Lisa DeVille, 38, a tribe member who lives on Fort Berthold in the small town of Mandaree, recently conducted a survey of her neighbors about the quality of life. The results, she says, revealed widespread concerns about increased crime, overcrowded roads, and environmental degradation.


DeVille says that since 2009 there have been roughly 70 reports of oil-related pollution at Fort Berthold. She worries that if there is ever a major accident, the tribe won’t have the infrastructure in place to respond adequately.


Many locals already feel endangered by the surge in truck traffic on the reservation. The steep roads that cut through the hilly Badlands tend to be a single lane in either direction with no shoulders. Each new oil well requires hundreds of visits from large trucks, which now routinely race up and down the hills, hauling in water and equipment and carrying out the oil. In September 2011 a semi passing through the area collided with a pickup driven by a local family, killing four passengers, including two young girls ages two and five.


The reservation has an outpatient health clinic but no hospital. The nearest emergency rooms are 100 miles away. DeVille says many residents were hoping the boom would result in better community health services. But like most upgrades at Fort Berthold, they’re something tribe members have yet to see. “Where’s all the money going?” asks DeVille.
 
 
Back at the council meeting, Hall announces a brief recess at 3 o’clock. Fifteen minutes later he’s sitting shotgun in a passenger van, his cowboy hat resting on the dashboard. In the back, staring out the windows, are visiting regulators from the U.S. Bureau of Land Management. The van rumbles down a dirt road and turns into a drill site. The visitors are greeted by a convoy of friendly oilmen from WPX Energy, a Tulsa-based company, and from Halliburton, which is fracking two wells there.


A Halliburton employee leads the group on a tour, past a seesawing pump-jack and dozens of noisy fracking vehicles painted bright red. At one point everyone pauses for photos. For once at Fort Berthold, there’s no hint of tension between the Native Americans, the oil companies, and the federal regulators. Everyone smiles. Later, Hall’s administration will post some of the photos on the tribe’s website.


As the tour winds down, the guide invites Hall and his guests to a cookout. By this point the chairman is again running way behind schedule. The meeting was supposed to resume at 3:30 p.m. It’s nearly 5. “Well, what do you guys have?” asks Hall. “Steak,” says the man from Halliburton. Soon, everybody is sitting around a picnic table enjoying a gratis supper.


Shortly after 6 p.m., the chairman resumes the council meeting. The rush of business proposals continues. Hamburgers are served. A team of architects from Minnesota presents designs for an expansive tribal government center, which Hall’s administration is planning to erect nearby. The monthly meetings, Hall explains, have grown too crowded. The total projected costs, according to the architects, will be in the range of $ 39 million to $ 44 million. “Is there a basketball court in there?” says Hall, smiling.


A couple more hours pass. Eventually, a staff member informs the remaining visitors that they must step outside so the council can conduct a closed-door session to review new hires. He assures everyone that afterward the agenda will march forward. The guests wearily decamp to an adjacent lobby. They have come long distances for a few minutes of the chairman’s time. At midnight, they’re still waiting.


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